Poland vs Colombia: It's a must-win scenario for Colombia and Poland when they meet in in their second 2018 World Cup match on Sunday at 2 p.m. ET. Both squads suffered upset losses in their World Cup 2018 openers and will be looking for the full three points to advance out of Group H, which also features Japan and Senegal. Favored Colombia is posted at +120, meaning you would need to wager $100 on a Colombian victory to gain a $120 profit. Poland is +240, while a draw is also +240. The over-under on total goals scored in this 2018 World Cup match is 2.5.
Before you enter your 2018 World Cup picks, you have to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say. Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Together with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.
The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In nearly three seasons since its inception, the Soccerbot is up an incredible 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.
So far at Russia 2018, the Soccerbot has nailed draws for Argentina-Iceland (+385) and Brazil-Switzerland (+360). It also correctly predicted Senegal upsetting Poland at +220, just to name a few of its big calls. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, Soccerbot has digested the film, crunched the numbers and broken down every single player on Colombia and Poland's rosters. The model has released a very strong money-line pick, which it's sharing over at SportsLine.
The model knows the Poles were controlling the tempo in their World Cup opener against Senegal, possessing the ball for 59 percent of the time and firing 10 shots, but were done in by an own-goal and questionable breakaway.
In order to advance to the 2018 World Cup knockout stage from a competitive group, Poland will need a better performance from its star, Robert Lewandowski. The Bayern Munich striker, who has tallied 55 international goals and 180 in the Bundesliga, must create space in the box for high-percentage scoring chances.
The model also knows Colombia is led by 26-year-old midfielder James Rodriguez, the Real Madrid and Bayern Munich star who has tallied 21 goals in international play, including six in the last World Cup.
